Tuesday, November 25, 2008

One year after MiFID, where is liquidity going?




This morning I read the following:

Chris Skinner posted the following comment on one of his blogs based on a panel he moderated at trade tech liquidity:
"I .... ask(ed) a dumb question, “as EMCF only has two risk managers and is now run by the Dutch Government, isn’t that bad for business?”.

Well, I'm going to take the bait:

(Please note: Since the equinox study EMCF reduced their fees to 5 euro cents - the Equinox study gives some context as to where we came from in 2006.)



1.


Chi-X is a price discovery platform for blue chip and second line equities. EMCF likewise is a CCP focused purely on a single asset class over a T+3 settlement period (T+2 for Germany).


2.
Let's consider a parallel with another industry. Many of us use public transport to get to work – are we suggesting that each and every rail commuter have a guard with them for health and safety? What is the ratio of staff at banks per transaction processed? We are talking in a technological age where we use technology to perform ‘peak transaction’ processing.


3.
Risk management is a sub second world is not about people watching trades. It is about systems, procedures, rules etc. To date the regulators have proven very effective at supervising all the new CCPs. I recommend any of the national regulatory reports (FSA, DNB etc.) where you can see first hand how CCPs are measured against the CPSS / IOSCO standards. Let the regulators continue with their jobs.


4.
A CCP operates as a closed eco-system. There are layers of protection from participation criteria, margining (remember the focus here) and elements of mutualisation such as a default fund. In between there may be other layers of protection of various degrees. What is important, and what the regulators accesses, is the ability of a CCP to handle default events without recourse to external capital. Neither the capitalisation of the CCP nor its ownership could be relevant in the event of adequate margins being called. When a CCP is stress tested, it is done on this basis. If the overall protection is not sufficient you will see either an increase in margin rates, default fund requirements or other. Again, leave the regulators to carry on doing their supervisory role.


5.
Personally, like many of us, I don’t think there was any joy in allowing Lehmans to fail. Nor for that matter in any of this market turmoil. That said, EMCF has experienced a default event and within 36 hours all EMCF participants were assured that there would be no recourse to their default fund contributions. This was possible in part due to the focus of the assets serviced and risks monitored. Again, the ownership of EMCF had no bearing on this event. This was simply a CCP doing what it is created for.


6.
To date we have seen no failure by the regulators in their supervision of CCPs. That is not to say they should not be challenged but let’s do it constructively.


7.
As evidenced by the industry, there is a demand for competition. Lets support that. Fragmentation is the cost that allows the benefits of competition to accrue to the market. Embrace the evolving market place and do your bit for all Europeans!


8.
People also want cheaper post trade costs. Remember clearing (risk management and charged per transaction) is different from settlement (change of ownership and charged net per transaction). EMCF has hammered down clearing costs to 5 eurocents and the primary market CCPs have begun to respond. EMCF has identified there is a place for new entrant CCPs and indeed they have come (e.g. EuroCCP).


9.
If anyone wants some slides on how EMCF has driven down fees I’ll post these on my blog:
http://clearingandsettlement.blogspot.com/

Finally, please note, these views are my own. I make these as an individual that believes in a better deal for European Capital markets.

I’m sorry to have taken the bait on this one, but I think it would be irresponsible not to.

Scott Riley
s.riley.mail@googlemail.com










Friday, November 14, 2008

LSE, SWX, Alpha, ASEAN, ICAP

G’day All,

Well, another busy week and as a result I have not kept up with the headlines.

LSE: STG 350 mill for investment opportunities. Italian firms migrated to TradElect.
SWX: As always, sorry to hear of job losses.
Nasdaq: Continuing rationalisations. I agree with breaking the defacto reference data monopolies.
NYSE.EN: Delays the octopus
Exchanges generally feeling the pinch of monopoly habits.
Index fall hints at stock exchange consolidation

Liquidnet: Busy in Asia
SGX: Thinks ASEAN
Alpha: in Canada: Interesting what industry syndicates can achieve: Alpha Group was established in May 2007 by BMO Capital Markets, Canaccord Capital Corporation, CIBC World Markets, CPP Investment Board, Desjardins Securities, National Bank Financial, RBC Capital Markets, Scotia Capital and TD Securities.

Regulation:
Industry associations flag MiFID faults in EC survey: If someone can find this report on the EC web site (drove me nuts) or anywhere I’d be interested in reading a copy.

Other reading:
Icap publishes OTC markets white paper
http://www.finextra.com/fullpr.asp?id=24492
and the report is available from their home page:
www.icap.com

When Madonna first moved to England she said she wanted to feel more English.
She is now an unmarried, single mother with three kids from different fathers, one of them black.
Job done


I’ll be in Singapore next week for TradeTech Asia so if anyone wants to meet up, just let me know.
Have a wonderful weekend all.

Rugby will have to wait till I get home!

S




LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE TAKES LEHMAN CHARGE AND SETS BACK BAIKAL LAUNCH Shares in the London Stock Exchange dropped by more than ten per cent after the UK market operator cancelled its share buy-back programme and warned of "extraordinarily difficult" market conditions.
Full story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19283

LSE BRINGS ITALIAN EQUITIES ONTO TRADELECT
The London Stock Exchange has completed the migration of Italian equities onto the TradElect platform, creating Europe's deepest pool of liquidity.
More on this story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19270


SWISS EXCHANGE TO CLOSE SWX EUROPE WITH THE LOSS OF 40 JOBS
In a move that marks the end of a seven-year presence as a recognised investment exchange in London for the Swiss group, SIX Swiss Exchange will close SWX Europe and reunify share trading in Zurich by mid-2009 in an effort to streamline operations and cut costs.
More on this story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19263

SWISS EXCHANGE PULLS LONDON TRADING BACK TO ZURICH -- November 11, 2008

SWX closes London business amid competitionSwiss Exchange, Europe’s fifth largest stock market, has become the first European exchange to succumb to the increasing pressure on the region's main equity markets from new trading rivals, announcing its decision to shut a London-based operation and move it to Zurich.

NASDAQ BACKS SEC ON SECURITIES SYMBOL SELECTION PLAN
http://www.finextra.com/fullpr.asp?id=24446

NASDAQ OMX REORGANISES NORDIC OPERATIONS AFTER NORD POOL ACQUISITION
http://www.finextra.com/fullpr.asp?id=24457





Liquidnet responds to crossing demand in Singapore

SGX wants Asian clearing links for ASEAN exchange initiative


Market turmoil delays NYSE Euronext MTFs

Alpha trading platform snatches 36% share in Canadian blue chips

BATS Europe would be “disappointed” with 5% market share


Industry associations flag MiFID faults in EC survey

Call for evidence on the impact of MiFID on secondary markets functioning
Closing date : 09 Jan. 2009
http://www.cesr-eu.org/index.php?page=consultation_details&id=125

TRADEWEB DEVELOPS ONLINE MARKETPLACES FOR CDS INDEX TRADING IN US AND EUROPE
http://www.finextra.com/fullpr.asp?id=24439




FSA probes new equities trading platforms for transparencyThe Financial Services Authority has launched an investigation into at least two of Europe’s new equities trading platforms, in a move that signals the financial turbulence has led market regulators to question the transparency of their operations. (Financial Times)

Index fall hints at stock exchange consolidationAn index tracking the share price performance of the world's top listed exchanges fell more steeply in October than in any other month this year, suggesting the sector may be facing a wave of consolidation next year.




THE TRADE NEWS: SGX Wants Asian Clearing Links for ASEAN Exchange InitiativeBy Staff11/10/08Hsieh Fu Hua, CEO of the Singapore Exchange (SGX), has outlined provisional clearing and settlement arrangements for a pan-Asian stock exchange.At the 12th general meeting of the Asia-Pacific Central Securities Depository Group on Monday, Hsieh proposed that any Asian cross-border trading initiative should be accompanied by clearing and depository links between the countries involved.The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has been exploring the idea of an electronic cross-border trading platform, in keeping with the association’s desire to establish closer links between its member’s capital markets by 2015. The exchanges involved are SGX, Indonesia Stock Exchange, Vietnam’s Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange, Bursa Malaysia, the Philippine Stock Exchange and the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The exchanges in Korea and Tokyo have also been invited to share their thoughts. At present, it is proposed that an ASEAN trading board would consist of the 30 “best” or most liquid stocks from each exchange involved in the project. It is intended that investors will be able to trade ASEAN stocks through their own local brokers, who will then use a corresponding broker in the home market where the stock is listed. Trading of stocks will continue to be subject to the rules of their own individual markets.“SGX has proposed that the trading board be accompanied by clearing and depository links, which will enable better management of risks and settlement failures,” said Hsieh. “This will also reduce costs for overseas brokers, who will only need to build back-office structures in their home markets. The creation of multilateral clearing links is a natural precursor to the integration of trading platforms, paving the way for a more liquid, lower risk and cost-efficient pan-Asian market.”Talks between ASEAN members are ongoing. A statement issued by SGX to The Trade read, “SGX continues to work closely with the ASEAN exchanges to pursue possibilities and work out the feasibility of the project. As such, the details and time frame have yet to be established.”



THE TRADE NEWS: Alpha Trading Platform Snatches 36 Percent in Canadian Blue ChipsBy Staff11/11/08Alpha, the alternative trading system (ATS) launched last Friday by a consortium of Canadian brokers, grabbed 36.24% of overall volume in ten blue-chip Canadian stocks on its second day of trading.Alpha achieved 10% of total volume across the ten securities in which it offers trading on its first day. The ATS is backed by nine brokers, but approximately 30 market participants were connected at launch. “Volume and value traded are key success indicators but what struck us most today was liquidity,” said Jos Schmitt, CEO of Alpha Group. “Throughout the day, Alpha was often showing the greatest liquidity at equivalent or better bid and ask spreads than other market places, despite the fact that many dealers are still ramping up their capabilities to trade on Alpha. This gives us a glimpse about what is to come and tells us where investors will need to look for price discovery and efficient execution.”Alpha Group was established in May 2007 by BMO Capital Markets, Canaccord Capital Corporation, CIBC World Markets, CPP Investment Board, Desjardins Securities, National Bank Financial, RBC Capital Markets, Scotia Capital and TD Securities.


Friday, November 7, 2008

Blogspot, NYSE, Liffe Clear, Consolidation, CDS.

G’day All,

Once again, a rush due to other commitments.
I will circulate this and update my remarks on the blogspot:
http://clearingandsettlement.blogspot.com when I get home. (he, he, weekend starts early down under).


NYSE.EN: (NYX) has become such a large animal / conglomerate that it is hard to read between the lines. The disposals of GL and the LCH.CN stakes are both signs in my view of ‘cleaning up’ or at least understanding the beast. As a monopoly, the myriad investments / tentacles of the octopus could be sustained and cross-subsidised. I suspect there will be a lot more demarcation and accountability of business lines.

Liffe Clear: Wow, I wrote the above, then I read this. I can understand Liffe wanting to do this. One angle for me, is why should Liffe members pay for the DTCC to buy LCH.CN? I guess they now have EUR 260 myn of the required EUR 739 myn. ICE members have flown…hmm, don’t expect LME members to get a fee cut, that leaves equity clear and repo clear to pick up the tab of EUR 500 myn odd.

Chi-X: October Volumes – published on
http://clearingandsettlement.blogspot.com

DTCC merger / LCH.CN
Also need to consider this piece of context
http://www.tcs.com/news_events/press_releases/Pages/LCHClearnet-adopts-TCS-BaNCS-MarketInfrastructure.aspx
& sunk investments by member firms (I recall the C21 migration issues)

I also want to jump on this story:
Consolidation of Clearing Houses good or bad?
The DTCC buying LCH.Clearnet looks a no brainer deal for both companies with both increasing their business potential and both able to rationalise their cost structures.

If this was indeed the case, why is the ECB saying…
3 November 2008 - ECB hosts meeting on establishing central counterparties for credit default swaps
And what about competition as a force to drive down costs?
Did this consolidation just happen one morning – no, we needed competition as one of the catalysts for change.
Is one CCP really such a good idea?
If this was the case, why is there demand for NCC in the US?
I think there are some sweeping generalizations and assumptions being made here.

Enough for now,

9, yep, nine games of rugby this week end and a rugby league world cup too.
I’ll not be watching half of ‘em.

Have a lovely w/end all,

S





BATS EUROPE LAUNCHES
Former US ECN operator Bats Trading, now a registered US exchange, says its European multilateral trading facility (MTF) has gone live, initially offering trading in 10 UK-listed securities, with a complete roll out slated to be complete by 19 November.
More on this story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19212


NYSE Euronext plans to axe 200 European jobsNYSE Euronext has posted a 33% drop in third-quarter profit and announced plans to eliminate 15% of its workforce in Europe over the coming year, as the transatlantic exchange group comes under increasing pressure from low-cost rivals.

And Then There Was One (Platform) The head of NYSE Euronext’s Universal Trading Platform on how consolidating trading systems will alter the trading landscape.

Earlier this year, NYSE Euronext embarked on a plan to create a single platform for all its products and markets. Dubbed the Universal Trading Platform (UTP), it will consolidate the various systems brought under one umbrella by last year's merger of Euronext and the New York Stock Exchange's parent company.
The transition of the NYSE and NYSE Arca systems in the U.S. and the European platforms NSC and Liffe Connect is slated to start at year-end, said Anthony Attia, executive director and head of the UTP program, beginning with the European cash markets--set to be completed by the second quarter of next year. Arca, whose technology will form the base of UTP, is expected to finish its transition in the third quarter, and NYSE before the end of 2009. The derivatives migration is still being assessed, said Attia, but should get under way in 2009.


LIFFE TO SELF-CLEAR FROM Q1 NEXT YEAR
To terminate its LCH.Clearnet clearing contract the London-based derivatives exchange owned by Nyse Euronext will make a one-time payment of EUR260 million.
More on this story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19214


TOKYO STOCK EXCHANGE TO FIRE 'ARROWHEAD' IN 2010 The Tokyo Stock Exchange is to delay the launch of its next generation trading system from late 2009 to the first business day of 2010 following consultation with CIOs from major trading firms on the Exchange.
Full story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19232


DOW JONES NEWSWIRES: NYSE Euronext Delays European MTF Launch Until Jan. '09By Doug Cameron 10/31/08NYSE Euronext (NYX) said Friday it will delay the launch of a new European share-trading platform until January. Duncan Niederauer, chief executive, said on a conference call that the launch of the NYSE Arca Europe unit had been pushed back "in deference" to the wishes of clients. The unit aims to defend the position of the transatlantic exchange operator amid intensifying competition in European equity trading. Bats Trading, a rival exchange that has already claimed 12% of U.S. equity trading, said Friday it had brought forward the launch of its own European platform to Nov. 19. NYSE Arca Europe and Bats Europe will join the flurry of new platforms targeting high-frequency traders in the region that are challenging established operators, including the four bourses controlled by NYSE Euronext. Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. (NDAQ) and the bank-owned Turquoise platform have already launched, competing with Chi-X, the first of a new breed of so-called multilateral trading facilities.


FINANCIAL TIMES: Mifid Opens Door for US Platforms in EuropeBy Jeremy Grant
Mifid, which came into effect a year ago Saturday, kicked off that revolution by breaking the monopoly the region’s stock exchanges had long enjoyed on where a share is traded – and thus on how tariffs were charged to traders. The directive required brokers and other intermediaries to ensure that they were achieving “best execution” when they carried out a trade for a client, which opened the way for other trading platforms to challenge the exchanges.Best execution means not only getting the best price for a share for your client, but ensuring that the trade is cleared and settled in the most efficient and cost-effective way.

Euro Millennium to use BNP’s new MTF post-trade service
LSE discloses details of onward routing fee
Trading on LSE now cheaper via Nasdaq OMX Europe


NASDAQ OMX ACQUIRES MARKET INTELLIGENCE FIRM BLOOM PARTNERS
Nasdaq OMX has acquired Chicago-based Bloom Partners, a supplier of market intelligence services to public companies. Terms of the deal were not disclosed.
More on this story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19228

EUROCLEAR COMPLETES NORDIC CENTRAL SECURITIES DEPOSITORY ACQUISITION
http://www.finextra.com/fullpr.asp?id=24333


NZX POURS SCORN ON JSE VALUATION OF SOUTH AFRICAN BOND EXCHANGE
The New Zealand Stock Exchange, the largest shareholder in the Bond Exchange of South Africa (Besa), has poured cold water over the Johannesburg Stock Exchange's proposed R173 million takeover of its compatriot.
More on this story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19224


DUTCH REGULATOR AFM SIGNS FOR ACTIMIZE MARKET ABUSE SYSTEM The Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM) is rolling out market abuse technology from Actimize to improve its surveillance and supervision of the Dutch market.
Full story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19222

3 November 2008 - ECB hosts meeting on establishing central counterparties for credit default swaps
The European Central Bank (ECB) today hosted a meeting with European stakeholders concerning the establishment of central counterparties (CCPs) for credit default swaps. Participants included the potential providers of such CCPs, their regulators and the main users (dealers and buy-side). The meeting complemented initiatives by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the European Commission in this field.
The Eurosystem shares the views of the Financial Stability Forum and of the European Commission on the importance of reducing counterparty risk and of enhancing transparency in OTC derivatives markets, especially in those parts of the market that are of systemic importance (e.g. credit derivatives, including credit default swaps). There are a number of initiatives aiming to achieve these goals through the introduction of centralised clearing solutions for OTC derivatives. The Eurosystem sees the introduction of CCPs for OTC derivatives as an appropriate solution to tackle the aforementioned issues because CCPs, by virtue of concentrating outstanding positions in one place, (i) reduce the counterparty risk to which market participants are exposed; (ii) increase market integrity, transparency and the availability of information; (iii) standardise the criteria for evaluation of exposures; and (iv) free up collateral.
Participants at the meeting underlined the merits of multiple solutions in general and of at least one European solution.
The Eurosystem stands ready, in cooperation with the other authorities, to facilitate the effective collective action of the private sector in this regard.
http://www.ecb.int/press/pr/date/2008/html/pr081103.en.html

EUROPEAN COMMISSION SETS YEAR-END DEADLINE FOR CREATION OF CDS CLEARING COUNTERPARTY The European Commission has set an end-year deadline for financial market participants to draw up a blueprint for the clearing of credit default swaps.
Full story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19239

ICE in clearing head searchThe Intercontinental Exchange, which is setting up a new US-based credit derivatives clearing house, is searching for a chief executive to head up the venture, Financial News has learnt.

Watchdog eyes government bond and repo clearingEurope's competition watchdog is to expand its study of European government bond trading to include clearing and settlement of repos and cash bonds, Financial News has learnt.



Consolidation of Clearing Houses good or bad?
The DTCC buying LCH.Clearnet looks a no brainer deal for both companies with both increasing their business potential and both able to rationalise their cost structures. This is certainly the case at LCH.Clearnet where it has been common knowledge that they need to modify their systems.We will not know if the deal will be concluded for some months until due diligence is completed but as far as the market is concerned it will surely be welcomed.The many new trading venues that have emerged after MiFID will also be keen to see this deal completed, as it clearly benefits their cost structures as it will the users. The Stock Exchanges will see the merger of the two businesses as attractive because it increases the overall attraction of companies listing and the operational efficiencies and costs in financial services firms. The investors should also benefit with reduced risks and costs.In the minority of those that may not see this deal as good for them might be OM NASDAQ who stated a little while ago that they will compete with the DTCC. This deal makes this less likely. Could they look towards Deutsch Börse and Clearstream for a merger? This would be an aggressive move and offer the European markets good competition.With the markets in turmoil and needing to recover lost confidence of the investors this type of deal is exactly what's required. It could spark a new round of mega changes to the infra stricture of the markets on the way to building a better, more secure and cost efficient financial industry.

LIQUIDNET TO OPEN SINGAPORE OFFICE
http://www.finextra.com/fullpr.asp?id=24423


THE TRADE NEWS: Trading on LSE Now Cheaper Via Nasdaq OMX EuropeBy Staff11/4/08Nasdaq OMX Europe, the exchange backed multilateral trading facility (MTF), has said it will not pass on to clients the onward routing charge imposed by the London Stock Exchange (LSE).The LSE announced a revised pricing structure yesterday, which included a one-basis-point charge for orders routed to it via other displayed markets. In addition, MTF routed orders will not qualify for the value-based discounts that apply to brokers’ orders from other sources.Nasdaq OMX Europe is the only MTF with onward routing at present, having teamed up with Citi to provide the service on its behalf. The charge for routing orders to the LSE is 0.25bps.“We are not passing on the LSE charge to our members,” confirmed a Nasdaq OMX Europe spokesman. “The 0.25bps all-inclusive pricing promotion is on as planned as we will continue to offer fast and cost-efficient trading in European blue chips.”As a result, trading on the LSE will be cheaper through Nasdaq OMX Europe rather than directly on the exchange itself. "The least expensive way to trade aggressively on the LSE – i.e. for removing liquidity – is via Nasdaq OMX Europe during our current price promotion,” Todd Golub, head of markets development, Nasdaq OMX Europe, told theTRADEnews.com.The cheapest charge for an aggressive execution on the LSE is 0.45 basis points, but a firm would need to be trading more than £30 billion a month on the exchange to qualify for this. Those trading £7.5 billion or less on the LSE pay 0.75 basis points for an aggressive execution.The LSE has denied that the tariff is anti-competitive. “It is fair and right to distinguish between client business and our competitors,” LSE spokesperson John Wallace told theTRADEnews.com, when the plans were first revealed. “Nasdaq OMX Europe remains free to compete with us in equity trading, as others are doing.”



1. How do you define optimism? A banker who irons five shirts on a Sunday. 2. What's the difference between an investment banker and a large pizza? The pizza can still feed a family of four. 3. What do you call five hedge fund managers at the bottom of the ocean? - A good start. 4. The credit crunch has helped me get back on my feet. The cars been repossessed. 5. The bank returned a cheque to me this morning, stamped: 'insufficient funds.' Is it them or me? 6. A man went to his bank manager and said: 'I'd like to start a small business. How do I go about it?' 'Simple,' said the bank manager. 'Buy a big one and wait.' 7. Everyone Says Money talks. Trouble is, mine knows only one word: 'Goodbye.' 8. What have an Icelandic bank and an Icelandic streaker got in common? They both have frozen assets. 9. A director decided to award a prize of $50 for the best idea of saving the company money during the credit crunch. It was won by a young executive who suggested reducing the prize money to $10.



9/11/2008
INT
Italy v Australia
Padova
1.00am
9/11/2008
INT
England v Pacific Islands
London
1.30am
9/11/2008
INT
Wales v South Africa
Cardiff
1.30am
9/11/2008
INT
Ireland v Canada
Limerick
4.15am
9/11/2008
INT
Scotland v New Zealand
Edinburgh
4.15am
9/11/2008
INT
France v Argentina
Marseille
7.00am
9/11/2008
INT
USA v Uruguay
Salt Lake City
9.00am

Sunday, November 2, 2008

Chi-X Turnover


Chi-X Total Consideration Traded (Nov):

November 2008: EUR 57,044,981,870
October 2008: EUR 109,157,247,286

That’s a decline of EUR 52,112,265,416 or 47.74%







Chi-X Turnover (Oct):

October 2008= EUR 109,162,573,053
September 2008= EUR 104,835,510,053

That’s an increase of EUR 4,327,063,307 or 4.13%








>

2008-11 57,044,981,870
2008-10 109,162,573,360
2008-09 104,835,510,053
2008-08 67,971,488,272
2008-07 73,593,684,141
2008-06 52,978,483,099
2008-05 38,922,976,001
2008-04 40,667,003,585
2008-03 33,414,519,682
2008-02 19,492,816,559
2008-01 21,283,498,209
2007-12 8,032,415,496
2007-11 12,723,133,525
2007-10 13,858,603,849
2007-09 10,918,269,828
2007-08 4,779,588,106
2007-07 4,510,071,743

Liquidity Shift, LSE & Symbology

Further to my remarks:

2 things happened on that Monday (8th Sept) of the LSE outage.

One. Many of the brokers that were connected to Chi-X with smart order routers (SORT) had them referencing against the primary market LSE.
When the reference field ‘disappeared’ the SORTs did not onward route as they were effectively frozen (like a dog pausing sniffing for a bone before it runs).
Many brokers were disgusted with this single point of failure in their systems. If there was another such outage, I expect all the SORTs will have been re-calibrated by now. There was a lesser issue with some brokers in simply switching everything to Chi-X as the primary market. Brokers wanted it to be more of a collective shift, they didn’t want to be the ‘first’ (for fear of being picked off).

Two. Not sure how much weight to put behind this. Many brokers had confused instructions from their clients. Due to the nature of the LSE outage some people were unsure of the status of their fills – how much had been completed – what was the balance they could / should trade on Chi-X? The information coming out of LSE on the day was by some accounts poor hence people did not know what balance of an order they had to work.

Anyway, once bitten twice shy. Since then, Chi-X membership has continued to grow. All Chi-X could do on the 8th was remain open and reliable. That we did. In fact, the 8th, which started off looking like a record day, was actually not that great for us.



From the Chi-X sales team:

We have been busy on the development front - led primarily by your feedback, the most recent announcements being on sponsored access and on common symbology which we feel is a key component to further evolutionary development in Europe. http://www.chi-x.com/news/Joint%20Symbology%20PR.pdf. In the fallout from the LSE outage the question most commonly asked of us on why we did not materially benefit from this outage. It is now clear that at the time, the primary Exchanges remained the reference price for many systems - rendering a large proportion of the market unable to trade on the MTF platforms. This in itself has changed, as many brokers have now decoupled this dependency, however there is a need to push for a consolidated feed. Common symbology is an important step; with MTF's using standard symbology, it will make it easier to move to a consolidated tape in Europe and for the vendors and the users of the market to make more informed trading decisions, thus able to ignore platforms who have experienced technical difficulties. It will also mount pressure on the last bastion of Exchange pricing control - market data. If the MTF's collectively trade a meaningful proportion of European trading - lets say 50% for the sake of argument - what justification do the incumbents have to continue to charge you 100% of their current market data charges? We hope that others will join us, BATS and Neuro in pushing this initiative forward.

Friday, October 31, 2008

CDS, DTCC, LSE, Subprime....blogspot!

G’day All,

Well after Sibos I was told to set up a more accessible blog spot.
I have tried to do this and will hopefully update this a bit more over the week-end (ya gotta start somewhere).
http://clearingandsettlement.blogspot.com/

I liked the Xtracker report. Be interested on comments about the validity and scope of data. (Chi-X in 2nd place)
CDS: CDS is the CCP flavour of the month. How about they award the global CDS contract to the first 2 CCPs they agree to co-operate on interoperability in that asset class. (confession – not an original idea of mine).
Brussels: another 200 pages of CCP recommendations – these I will read. And the Code extends to derivatives. It had to happen. How can a CCP concentrate risk if they are only looking at the equity piece? Exchange fees in derivatives also need a shake up and we know the importance of CCPs in liberalising competitive forces.
JSE: A first I read this as a liquidity event for NZX, now I guess they want to Go for Growth. (Euronexters will geddit).
LSE: Clara is off to spend some cash, just maybe not as much as she had at the time of the Nasdaq bid. Baikal..resurfases? Moscow…sunk (I wonder if that prudent call would have been made pre-competition)
NYSE: Finally announces the specialists will go. When is the floor closing? I mean, denial or what?
Subprime: JPM contracts start to feel the back pocket bite (one of the reasons for blogging this is so I can see when I first said the madness would subdue when we as tax payers started to feel the consequences). My other sentiment is Oh what a wicked web we weave, when first we plan to deceive. Now we begin to see the fallout, conditions and unintended consequences of the various un-coordinated bail out plans. E.g. NCB guarantee funds for depositors and short selling (exemptions, exclusions, clarifications).

I have also added some comments on the DTCC announcement.
Just for good orders sake I better mention these are my comments and thoughts. They may be right or wrong. I hold them out as my own view and I am happy to be corrected. Where I write abridged that is because…well, you can guess. Anyway, migrating towards a google blog may allow more freedom of expression.

Letter to Bank Manager
Dear Sir,
In view of current developments in the banking market, if one of my cheques is returned marked "insufficient funds",does that refer to me or to you?
Yours Faithfully,

This is news I know you will all be happy to hear. Shaz has arranged cable TV for me, so I’ll be watching the rugby again (or a recording of it subject to kids approval) this w/end.
http://www.rugbyheaven.com.au/calendar/

Last weekend Daniel was a star and did 20kms and all 7 bridges of:
http://www.7bridgeswalk.com.au/


Good week-end all,

And if you get a chance – hit http://clearingandsettlement.blogspot.com/, god knows what will happen!


On an FAQ please s
ee separate posting:
Liquidity Shift, LSE & Symbology


FIRMS SHIFT EXECUTION VENUES DURING TURBULENT SEPTEMBER - XTRAKTER
http://www.finextra.com/fullpr.asp?id=24241
The overall top 5 execution venues for equities for the Q3 08 as processed by Xtrakter were as follows; in first place was NYSE Euronext (Paris) with 17.44%, in second place was Chi-X Europe Limited with 12.21% and in third place was Deustche Kassenverein with 8.95%, in fourth place was the LSE with 6.91% and in fifth place was the Electronic Share Market with 6.26% of the total Xtrakter share. However OTC remained the preferred method of execution for Xtrakter clients during this period.
http://www.xtrakter.com/executionvenues.aspx

ICE TO ACQUIRE THE CLEARING CORPORATION AS CDS CLEARING DEADLINE NEARS
IntercontinentalExchange is to acquire The Clearing Corporation of Chicago as it gears up for the launch of a central counterparty clearing system for the credit default swaps market in conjunction with nine global dealers.
More on this story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19205

EUREX BACKS EC'S MCCREEVY ON CREDIT DERIVATIVES TRADING AND CLEARING
http://www.finextra.com/fullpr.asp?id=24139

Exchanges must submit CDS plans to Federal Reserve by Friday
Major exchanges vying for a role in a possible clearinghouse for credit default swaps must present their proposal to the Federal Reserve by Friday, a New York Fed spokesman said on Tuesday. The $55 trillion market, criticised as a major contributor to the current financial crisis, is heading for much tighter regulation and a number of exchanges are trying to get a piece of the action.
http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUSN2859006320081028

CME swaps clearinghouse could be up and running by January
CME Group’s planned clearinghouse for credit default swaps will be ready to go at the end of this week—and can begin operating after it gets regulatory approvals and completes testing with trading firms, CME managing director Tim Doar said today.
http://www.financialweek.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20081028/REG/810289972/1036

Peterffy Says CME Group Credit Swap Plan Puts Billions at Risk
Electronic trading pioneer Thomas Peterffy says a plan by CME Group Inc. to guarantee credit- default swaps could put his entire $4 billion company at risk. CME Group's proposal to use its existing clearinghouse to clear swaps would require exchange members such as Peterffy's Interactive Brokers Group Inc. to bail out a failed trader. Those companies have put up $101 billion to guarantee the futures and options now cleared by CME. ``It would be a great mistake,'' said Peterffy, 64, a Hungarian immigrant whose company executes 14 percent of the world's equity options. ``Mixing the two types of funds will jeopardize the entire financial system'' set up to guarantee futures trades, he said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a2pK9HrK58_Y&refer=home

The CME CDS piece is interesting to me.
I also think there are other issues:
We are not only worried about the CDS of today, we also need to ‘backload’ all the existing CDS business that is out there.
Every man and his dog wants to offer a service for this stuff now.
Margin offsets and economies of scale are great….but you can never offset Lehman Inc against Lehman Ltd or Lehman Exotic Vehicle NV etc. All the time they are separate legal entities there is no netting. You can only net by legal entity not group.
In my view the number of defence layers a CCP can have could be 20. But if they are paper thin you just knock through them in rapid succession. If an FCMs own capital (level 3) is 2myn – bang, you knock that layer out in a heartbeat. In default funds it is size and certainty that count. Some people like insurance. I’m not keen on it. In the event of a default you want cash in 24hrs. Not a defined trigger event, that is published in the Lloyds gazette (or similar) and only once verified by an auditor funds are funds released etc. In default, show me the money…now.
LCH.Clearnet to it’s full credit managed the Lehman default across a broad spectrum of products and asset classes. Nevertheless, I do worry about the contagion risk to other clearing members that may not even be involved or clearing CDS’s just because they have been sucked into the same default fund.
I also worry about people following regulatory priority in order to gain favour in the topic of the moment rather than customer priority.



ESCB AND CESR PUBLISH DRAFT CLEARING AND SETTLEMENT SYSTEMS RECOMMENDATIONS
http://www.finextra.com/fullpr.asp?id=24157

EC to scrutinise exchange-traded derivatives clearingThe European Commission is set to open a consultation on post-trade issues in exchange-traded derivatives, in a move that could possibly lead to the break up of exchanges control over futures clearing.

From financial crisis to recovery: A European framework for action
The Commission has approved a communication contributing to the ongoing debate inside the EU and with international partners on how best to respond to the current crisis and its aftermath. On 26 November the Commission will propose a more detailed EU recovery framework.
-
The text of the communication- Press pack: Financial Crisis - Europe's response

UK Financial Stability Review The Report analyses the turmoil and the actions taken by the UK authorities and other countries. “We need a fundamental re-think of how to manage systemic risk internationally", Deputy Governor Sir John Gieve said.
The Financial Stability Report* is published half-yearly by Bank staff under the guidance of the Bank’s Financial Stability Board. It aims to identify the major downside risks to the UK financial system and thereby help financial firms, authorities and the wider public in managing and preparing for these risks.
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/fsr/

AMF working paper: Block Trades, Fragmentation and the MiFIDThe paper presents a study of the reasons that prompt fragmentation in market infrastructure in response to differing investor requirements and the foreseeable consequences for the quality and efficiency of that infrastructure.
http://www.amf-france.org/documents/general/8483_1.pdf


JSE MAKES BID FOR SOUTH AFRICAN BOND EXCHANGE
The Johannesburg Stock Exchange has made a R173 million bid for the Bond Exchange of South Africa (Besa)
More on this story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19184

Rand 173myn sounds a lot, I think it is about 10 million quid, so 2.2 mill for the Kiwis to fund AXE in Aust.

BOND EXCHANGE OF SOUTH AFRICA STILL TAKING ADVICE ON JSE OFFER
http://www.finextra.com/fullpr.asp?id=24299

LSE HIRES HEADHUNTERS TO FIND FURSE SUCCESSOR The London Stock Exchange has hired a headhunter to find a replacement for chief executive Clara Furse, who has fended off a string of hostile takeovers during her eight year tenure at the LSE helm.
Full story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19179

LSE APPOINTS CEO FOR BAIKAL PROJECT
The London Stock Exchange moved a step closer to ending the uncertainty surrounding its proposals to launch a dark pool for pan-European equities trading by naming former Lehman staffer John Wilson as chief executive of Baikal.
Full story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19211

LSE ditches Moscow plansThe London Stock Exchange has abandoned a plan to open an office in Moscow after the financial crisis wiped out the prospects for Russian equity issuance for at least 12 months.

NYSE ABOLISHES SPECIALISTS AS BATS CIRCLES The New York Stock Exchange is to banish the privileged position of specialist firms on the trading floor as it bids to keep pace with competitors operating on faster automated platforms.
Full story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19181

JPMORGAN MOVES TO CUT IT CONTRACTOR BILLS JPMorgan has written to IT contractors demanding they take a 15% pay cut by the end of the month or face termination.
Full story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19201


22/10/2008 11:06:00
NASDAQ OMX ENTERS ENERGY TRADING FRAY WITH ACQUISITION OF NORD POOL UNITS
Nasdaq OMX is to launch a new energy and carbon trading unit after completing the acquisition of Nordic power exchange Nord Pool's clearing, international derivatives and consulting subsidiaries.
More on this story:
http://www.finextra.com/fullstory.asp?id=19164


TRAYPORT INTEGRATES 3I INFOTECH RISK TECHNOLOGY INTO GLOBALVISION
http://www.finextra.com/fullpr.asp?id=24238


Turquoise CEO blasts rival's "untenable" pricing


The Online Finance 30: Optimistic on TechnologyDespite the turmoil in world markets, leading executives in the realm of financial technology and e-finance share a remarkably optimistic outlook. The innovators on Institutional Investor’s ninth annual Online Finance 30 list are investing in technology, racking up profits and rewarding shareholders.



EXCHANGE NEWS DIRECT: Equiduct Trading's VBBO Is Now Available From Bloomberg 10/29/08On 31st October, Bloomberg will introduce coverage of Equiduct's European Volume-weighted Best Bid and Offer (VBBO), the first Pan European consolidated view of equity prices in the post MiFID trading environment.Users of the data will be able to see the only accurate consolidated, volume-weighted best bid and offer for liquid stocks traded in France, Germany, Benelux and the UK across all markets including both incumbent exchanges and new MTFs such as Turquoise, Chi-X and Nasdaq OMX. Users will also benefit from the superior performance of the Bloomberg system.Artur Fischer, Co-CEO Börse Berlin Equiduct Trading comments: "With the entry of new MTFs into the European execution venue space the market is becoming increasingly fragmented. Market participants will have increasing difficulty keeping up with the volume of market data available and the costs of accessing, interpreting and storing it. By using our VBBO market participants will can see a European Consolidated Tape and maintain a real-time market overview."The launch of the VBBO on the Bloomberg platform is the latest step of a set of products being launched by Equiduct which also includes PartnerEx, a tailored B-to-B Product to provide guaranteed Best Ex and an ultra low cost, low latency Hybrid trading platform.




(see also comments on DTCC / LCH).
http://www.dtcc.com/news/press/releases/2008/dtcc_lch.clearnet.php?lpos=home_splash_img&lid=oct_merger

1. The merger in 2003 valued each half LCH / Clearnet at 600myn euros apiece. With a purchase price of 739 myn that is a loss of value of 461 million in the 5 years of the merger.

2. Customers will in any case 'pay' for the merger out of LCH.Clearnet profits during the course of the next 3 years (why clear your business through LCH for the next 3 years just to pay yourself back through inflated fees?)
3. After this, the rebate model ala NYSE Euronext, will be introduced across the group.
4. rebate issues (abridged).
5. Now LCH, Clearnet, EuroCCP and DTCC should all be interoperable (as part of the same group).
6. (abridged)
7. If approved the ‘vested interest’ argument of Europe should dissipate. (i.e. I want to interoperate with LCH because I own a stake in it).
8. I expect the transatlantic volume discount argument will continue
9. EMCF / NCC will have a similar value proposition, just commercial
10. (abridged) merger will certainly be a distraction to their business (and customer focus).
11. EuroCCP will become the equity CCP of the group.
12. This is a US (i.e. non-European) inspired solution. I feel Europeans would still like to use a home grown solution.
13. I fear DTCC will be more focussed on delivering regulatory inspired solutions like clearing the CDS market than servicing the daily needs of European customers.
14. (abridged) service in fixed income clearing which was for the customers and liked.
15. The merged entity will be 2,800 US staff plus 900 European staff. You still need a lot of volume to pay for that.
16. Where does this leave European interoperability? Who is left to dance (abridged) & what do customers want?


NYSE Euronext to rival brokers with new serviceThe world’s largest exchange NYSE Euronext has launched a trading service aimed at smaller firms, including hedge funds and asset managers, stepping further into the traditional territory of its larger sellside customers. The launch comes as its hometown rival, Nasdaq OMX, also launched a service provided by the largest banks and brokers.
This is an interesting story. A) TradeCheck aims to assist in best execution…and will connect to other (non-Euronext) destinations I assume if there is customer demand…umm Isn’t this best execution?)
B) LSE claim they are going to charge Citigroup double for routing trades (from Nasdaq OMX)? Is that true…or should I say, can that be true?



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GLOBAL INVESTOR: European Trading on the Precipice of Change
By Staff October 2008

Recent launches of electronic trading venues such as Chi-X Europe, Turquoise and Nasdaq OMX are set to make dramatic changes to the European equity trading marketplace. That was the consensus among delegates at Sibos, the annual financial services conference held in Vienna.Three electronic trading venues, or multilateral trading facilities (MTFs) are up and trading, and two more are set to launch before the year end, raising questions about the future of existing exchanges, the upshot of liquidity fragmentation, competition and consolidation, and potential complexity in the post-trade environment.Market sources agree that the old guard is giving way to the new. Electronic trading venues are challenging national exchanges because they offer faster, more flexible trading with lower execution costs than their traditional counterparts."Alternative networks are proliferating. In the short term, the landscape will look more complex and its difficult to see what the end game will look like. But the longer term picture is that the European marketplace is undergoing a staged process of consolidation," says Andrew Gelb, head of securities and fund services, EMEA at Citi.Post-trade spaceThe slew of MTF launches will also affect the post-trade space. The traditional structure of national exchanges, central counterparties clearing houses (CCPs) and central securities depositories (CSDs), intermediated by agent banks is changing. The cross-border MTFs are partnering with cross-boarder central clearing counterparties, while EU regulation is prompting central securities depositories to move up the value chain into custodian territory. Tomas Kindler, managing director of Link Up Markets, a joint venture by seven CSDs, says: "MTFs and their cross-border CCPs contribute to fragment the market, which is cascading down the value chain and increasing complexity in the post-trade environment. This is an important time. There are many new developments, creating new opportunities."But whatever the differing views on how the landscape will look in the future, the market is unanimous that the changes in both the trade and post-trade environments are a boon to the fund management industry because of the cost benefits. Kevin Rideout, global head of financial institutions client and sales management for infrastructures, Citi, points out that execution costs at MTFs like Chi-X and Turquoise are many times cheaper than at some incumbent exchanges, despite recent price reductions. CCPs have cut their rates too, from 50 cents to 2 – 3 cents in some cases. "Fund managers are putting pressure on their brokers to flow those execution cost savings through to them," he says. But he adds: "However, liquidity remains king and this still largely remains on the traditional exchanges."Jez Bezant, head of retail structured products at Aviva Investors, explains that with smart order routing (SOR) technology, which searches all venues for best execution, MTFs also raise the chances of finding better trading prices. Broker dealers are arming themselves with intelligent SORs that look for best execution trades across MTFs and traditional exchanges. Bezant also speculates that electronic trading and SORs could enable some managers to side-step brokers altogether if they are prepared to make the technology spend to connect themselves.By the end of September, three MTFs were active in the European marketplace. Chi-X, which is majority owned by Instinet, along with 14 other institutions, was the first to launch in April 2007. Turquoise, backed by nine of the world's largest banks launched in August of this year was second and Nasdaq OMX Europe, launched in September 2008 was the last to launch.BATS Europe, Equiduct and one to be created by NYSE Euronext are all scheduled to launch by the end of November. The LSE is set to launch its alternative venue, Baikal, named after the world's deepest lake, in the first quarter next year. Deutsche Börse has also announced that it is contemplating a launch.SurvivalBut with so many entrants into the market, competition will be fierce. Each venue will need trading volumes to generate revenue but liquidity is finite and, because liquidity generates liquidity, those that corner market share early stand a better chance of survival. Peter Randall, chief executive, Chi-X says: "More venues will launch than expected but marginally less will survive than expected."Chi-X's chances of survival look good. After only 18 months of trading, the venue is the fourth largest exchange in Europe by volume, according to August data (see Best Execution, page 39). Given the difficult trading environment over the past year, that level of market capture is no mean feat and is a powerful testament to the role of MTF's in the future. In September, Chi-X had a 15% market share of all FTSE 100 stock trades alone and an average five basis point improvement across all European markets; yet supports a team of only 27."Traditional exchanges say that Chi-X is simply encouraging new volumes into the market rather than taking market share. We agree with that to a certain extent but we also believe that the numbers speak for themselves," says Chi-X's Randall. He adds that Chi-X's success is not simply because of the technology. "We've succeeded where many previous attempts to launch alternative exchanges have failed," he says.If Chi-X has brought new volumes to Europe, it's because of its strategy to move volume for low costs at speed, a facility that suits fast-trading hedge funds very well. Richard Balarkas, chief executive of broker Instinet Europe, explains that this cheaper, faster model is ushering in high volume trading strategies popular in the US, such as statistical arbitrage and quantitative strategies, which are more cost-sensitive thanks to the amount and speed they aim to trade.Liquidity warThe other two operational venues are also trying to win the liquidity war by promoting key differentiators. Turquoise is marketing both dark pool and transparent central order book capabilities. Dark pools allow traders to find trade matches anonymously, enabling institutions to trade huge volumes without affecting prices on the wider market.Aviva Investors' Bezant explains that this service is better suited to index funds, which are more interested in moving large blocks of stock with minimal market interference, but which are less time-sensitive than hedge funds.Nasdaq OMX hopes to attract liquidity by offering subsidies to traders that post liquidity and to high volume traders on its traditional exchanges in the US and Scandinavia. If a trade does not find a match, it will forward the trade onto other MTFs until it finds a match, thereby guaranteeing a successful trade. Nasdaq OMX hopes to gain a 5% market share by the end of the year and a 20% share in the long term, a spokesman said.What will become of the traditional exchanges as MTFs proliferate? Scott Riley, director at Chi-X, believes that they still have a role to play in the listing of new stock and capital issuances. Others, like Randall, think that the traditional exchanges will simply adapt. Ten years ago Nasdaq and NYSE faced similar challenges yet they are still the primary exchanges in the US.Anthony Attia, executive director, head of business change management at NYSE Euronext, points out that exchanges are adopting trading tools like SORs and dark pools, as well as partnering or forming their own MTFs. LSE is set to launch Baikal, its own dark pool, in November and Deutsche Börse has recently announced its interest in developing an alternative trading venue.LegacyBut if exchanges have seemed slow to respond, it is because of a legacy mindset, says Randall. "They've been able to do what they liked for so long. Equally there's a strong sense of nationalism surrounding national exchanges that prevents change," he says.The inevitable fragmentation of the marketplace is also another concern for market commentators as each MTF struggles for market share. Yet Eli Lederman, chief executive at Turquoise, points out that Europe was already fragmented, each country having its own exchange and infrastructure, but that now, MTFs are countering fragmentation at the trading end.Randall observes that the cross border trading capabilities that MTFs provide are in line with the pan-European, sector-focused way that traders see the market. Traditional exchanges only offer a country-focused trading solution. Others point out that SORs are the key to unlocking the fragmentation problem because they are programmed to source trades across all trading venues.But with new players in the market operating new technologies, market fragmentation could present new risks particularly in the post-trade segment. Citi's Gelb observes that the landscape is becoming more complex as CSDs begin to provide services that were once the preserve of agent banks. Link Up Markets is a joint venture among European CSDs that will allow them to effect cross border settlement. Target2Securities, a pan-European single settlement platform, will further incentivise CSDs to encroach onto agent bank territory.However, despite the potential opacity and complexity that such changes could bring, service providers remain bullish. "MiFID and the 2006 Code of Conduct will promote transparency, and the market is more aware of pricing and component costs than ever," says Gelb.
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